Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.955861 14.516637 16.206731 18.175368 20.408656 22.867125 25.783501
2025-05-11 10.404366 12.502952 14.954780 18.041576 21.839115 26.377519 32.240874
2025-05-18 8.622734 10.979497 13.912628 17.855506 23.053818 29.723478 39.009981
2025-05-25 7.325435 9.795052 13.038114 17.649964 24.106531 32.923050 46.042829
2025-06-01 6.379858 8.899140 12.365338 17.543881 25.189589 36.227685 53.671156
2025-06-08 5.662369 8.198394 11.834706 17.512181 26.305396 39.658559 61.957305
2025-06-15 5.238929 7.851495 11.743961 18.077230 28.338783 44.688862 73.476472
2025-06-22 4.726003 7.299197 11.263893 17.953569 29.235578 48.001136 82.658566
2025-06-29 4.231646 6.713689 10.654680 17.525882 29.542686 50.330363 90.448184
2025-07-06 3.848299 6.260567 10.200107 17.283984 30.106193 53.132039 99.485234
2025-07-13 3.659425 6.105532 10.215476 17.840880 32.136468 58.813138 114.914059
2025-07-20 3.495842 5.973815 10.251234 18.428390 34.284197 64.991116 132.374624
2025-07-27 3.286354 5.747584 10.109070 18.694293 35.902171 70.472629 149.617500
2025-08-03 3.013071 5.380533 9.676175 18.358474 36.293358 73.553794 162.252591
2025-08-10 2.776660 5.058278 9.293166 18.073921 36.749814 76.839251 175.998078
2025-08-17 2.569459 4.770874 8.946644 17.819959 37.232956 80.249184 190.706633
2025-08-24 2.397852 4.535417 8.676745 17.690600 37.965328 84.321569 207.867335
2025-08-31 2.252253 4.337197 8.460487 17.647797 38.882008 88.955125 227.423196
2025-09-07 2.179920 4.278589 8.520724 18.212166 41.273926 97.497743 259.325995
2025-09-14 2.048383 4.086614 8.284716 18.084836 42.001943 102.027499 280.973642
2025-09-21 1.901895 3.850690 7.933344 17.652462 41.924136 104.478240 297.088610
2025-09-28 1.784329 3.665961 7.675158 17.408042 42.281716 108.124579 317.609648
2025-10-05 1.739430 3.634049 7.749886 17.969010 44.790523 118.025344 360.102262